15–20 Mar 2026
Berlin
Europe/Berlin timezone
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Comparison of Predicted Solar Polar Fields with Solar Orbiter Observations

17 Mar 2026, 10:05
15m
Harnack Haus (Berlin)

Harnack Haus

Berlin

Contributed talk Polar Science

Speaker

Jon Linker (Predictive Science Inc.)

Description

First Name: Jon
Last Name: Linker
Email Address: linkerj@predsci.com
Affiliation: Predictive Science Inc.

All Authors: Cooper Downs, Ronald Caplan, James Turtle, Pete Riley, Gherardo Valori, Solar Orbiter PHI Team

Abstract: The photospheric magnetic field originating from the poles of the Sun expands into the upper solar atmosphere and out into the solar wind. It can profoundly affect the topology and structure of the entire coronal magnetic field, and, particularly at solar minimum, contributes disproportionately to the open magnetic flux. It is difficult to accurately measure the polar magnetic field from the ecliptic plane, where, until recently, all observations have been made. Surface Flux Transport (SFT) models incorporate the processes by which magnetic flux is transported and dispersed across the solar surface. They can assimilate magnetograms and predict the flux on unobserved portions of the Sun, including the poles. Global maps of the solar magnetic field from SFTs are frequently used in lieu of standard synoptic maps, in part because they predict the polar values. In the past year, Solar Orbiter ascended to nearly 17 degrees heliographic latitude, allowing unprecedented measurements of the solar polar magnetic field by the PHI instrument. We employ the Open-Source Flux Transport (OFT) model to assimilate HMI line-of-sight (LOS) and HMI vector measurements and simulate the surface flux of the Sun over many years. We compare the polar magnetic flux predicted by the model for different realizations around the time period of the polar passes with the PHI measurements. Work supported by NASA and NSF.

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